Maximising lifetime earnings?

Haxa posted a theory…nay, hypothesis on how people might make decisions about maximising their expected lifelong earning. OK, I’m paraphrasing heavily here, but essentially that’s what he’s arguing, i.e. how can people ensure that they are able to minimise loss of employment and/or maximise their earnings by equipping themselves with diverse skills.

I think it’s an interesting idea. And I suspect some economist must have done a study of such behaviour at some point or other. However, Haxa’s hypothesis needs to be refined, and perhaps revised, further, particularly in the Malaysian context.

I’ll use myself as an example.

I have a Diploma in Hotel Management and Catering. I also have a BSc in Economics. I was further educated in International Relations when I completed a two-year research masters degree (MPhil.). I have been certified in Public Relations by the Institute of Public Relations of Malaysia (IPRM). I had, in a past life, obtained a certificate in accounting from the London Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI). I have work experience, both paid and unpaid. I have travelled widely and have lived long periods in different societies. I speak, depending on how you count, at least six languages: English, Malay, French, German, Spanish and Chinese (Cantonese, a smattering of Hokkien and Mandarin). With the exception of Chinese, I can also read and write in these languages. I am also in the process of learning the Russian language.

Thus, for all intends and purposes, I am, as Haxa would call it, a Jack-of-all-trades.

Unfortunately, despite my very abled skills, it has not been easy finding preferred and/or suitable work in Malaysia. Allow me to enumerate the reasons.

(1) In some countries, I am perceived as an individual enriched by life experiences and therefore a highly desirable employee. However, in Malaysia, I am, in general, seen as not being very focused and/or being over qualified.

(2) In some countries, employers look for “basic” skills and abilities. Malaysian employers on the other hand tend to hire on the basis of specific training/education. Thus, in Malaysia, a graduate in Politics would rarely, if ever, be hired as an accountant. This is not uncommon in the UK at the moment. A glance at the advertisements it the Malaysian newspapers would reveal a large majority actually specifying, in a very narrow sense, the sort of degrees Malaysian employers are seeking for particular positions.

(3) Malaysian employers tend to value specific industrial experience very highly. Most still do not to subscribe to the idea of transferable skills or the possible fresh approaches an “outsider” might bring. Thus, if you do not have X number of years of working experience in the particular industry, you would be at considerable disadvantage when trying to obtain employment in that industry.

In short, the deficiency with Haxa’s hypothesis, especially in the Malaysian context, is that if you spend your time equipping yourself with knowledge and/or skills, you are, to some extent, trading off investing in the temporal aspect of work experience which is so highly valued in this country. That is, every extra year you spend studying in university is one year less in the labour market and one year less of work experience in your CV. This leads to a lower probability of being employed, all things being equal. In my case, if I had continued working and did not bother with the undergraduate or the masters degrees, I would now be earning (much) more money (and would hold a higher position) than I presently am.

Of course, you might then argue that it’s easier for someone with additional credentials to “catch-up”. That’s true to some extent. But unfortunately, in an environment where a factor like point (3) plays a crucial role and where time does not stand still for your competitors in the job-market, the ability to “catch-up” is diminished.

The other problem with the argument is the limit of human possibility. In Malaysia, given point (2) above, if you truly wanted to protect yourself from ever being out of work (when different industries move in different business cycles), you’d have to obtain a plethora of qualifications. That would never be possible. You could manage one or two, or even three at most, in your lifetime, but that’s about it. This is not enough to allow you to move across a sufficient number of industries to protect yourself from cyclical unemployment. At least not as long as Malaysian employers continue to hire employees on the basis of very specific requirements. [Caveat: yes, I understand that in medicine, engineering, architecture etc. specific training is absolutely essential.]

Employers need to learn to read beyond the obvious. For instance, I have taught teenagers many times in holiday classes. Instead of brushing off that experience, employers should note that (1) you need to have presentation skills to be able to catch the attention of a bunch of young brats, (2) you need to have good communication skills to hold that attention, and (3) you need to have management skills to sustain their participation over a long period of time. It is not always easier dealing with young people than it is with adults. Adults generally understand the concepts of courtesy and social manners better. But I digress…

All this before going into the matter of age, gender and race!

Finally, there is the general point about instantaneous performance. Unless an employer is hiring a fresh graduate, most employers would expect their employees to start “performing” instantaneously. There will be very little time for “learning the ropes”, certainly not beyond the minimal assimilation of “corporate culture”. So, even if you were equipped with the necessary industrial training/knowledge, unless you have already been working in that industry [which then meets point (3) above], you would probably not be able to “perform” within the short span of time that most employers would expect of mid-career employees. You might, as a mid-career employee, be able to start “performing” earlier and better than a fresh graduate, however, unless employers make allowances for such transitionary periods, you would effectively still be competing with fresh grads who would accept lower pay-cheques.

So, I propose that being a Jack-of-all-trades does not generally lead to a maximisation of expected lifetime earnings. It may maximise your expected period of lifetime employment, but that does not necessarily translate into the maximisation of expected lifetime earnings. You might never suffer from unemployment but you may only be employed at low levels of pay [due to point (3), and perhaps even (2), above]. Since, in most cases, people are not working just for the sake of working, this point is important.

Comments, anyone?

  

4 Responses to “Maximising lifetime earnings?”

  1. I’ve made a comment on Haxa’s blog and further to those comments, in order to qualify his hypothesis, do allow me to cite your case as an example. I say that in your case, it COULD lead to a maximisation of expected lifetime earnings. Here’s how:

    Firstly, for the MPT analogy to work, the qualifications that you have obtained (great going, btw) are not supposed to be applied to a single job. You must use them all in parallel jobs. You must work as a language tutor (in all those languages that you are fluent in, so x5 here), a restaurateur, an economist, and probably in your present job. These jobs must all generate various levels of income to you at different points in time, depending on their respective exposure to the current financial and political climate - just as how stocks do well when bonds don’t.

    As I’ve said in Haxa’s blog, to make his idea complete, you need to find what’s analogous to a risk-free asset. So add ‘doctor’ into your portfolio. Go back to med school.

    Having done all these, in your lifetime, your earnings WILL be maximised (relative to your ‘skills’ basket). Thus, when it’s ‘in’ to learn Spanish, you are in demand; when it’s ‘cool’ to be enjoying the cuisine that your restaurant serves, you are in demand; when it’s not the right time to do business, go use your international relations qualification to work in an embassy. ;-)

  2. I have posted a thank you note to both of you Jikon and Alvin, and how will I approach this analogy in my revision of the title.

    Again, thank you.

  3. Ha!Ha!Ha!

    That’s of course assuming that there are no, or at least very low, transactional costs to switching careers. Not to mention the fact that you’d need more than 24 hours in a day to maintain parallel jobs. Finally, I do remember that there was a reason why the division and the specialisation of labour came into being…!

    I’ve thought of another way to frame the problem and I’ll post it up later in the day. First, to work!

  4. My apologies for taking so long to come back to this topic. I’ve been distracted lately, as you would be able to tell from the rest of the blog.

    Anyway… what I was going to say was…

    Haxa - your starting point at the moment can be caricaturised as follows: you’re taking the supply market for employment (i.e. the employer’s side) as a given. And you’re now analysing the demand side, i.e. given the market, what can employees do in order to maximise their potential lifetime earnings. We’ve covered this in our previous posts.

    What I am now suggesting is that rather than just concentrating at the demand side of the employment market, you should also look at the supply side. In a way, I had touched on this, albeit in a very tangential manner, in my post.

    What I’m saying is: while it is intellectually expedient to assume that the supply side is a given, it doesn’t really help answer the larger question which I see as being not only how to maximise the lifetime earnings of employees, but to also ensure greater efficiency and growth in the economy as a whole.

    What I am in effect suggesting here is that if Malaysian employers would take a broader approach to its employment policies (as argued in my post), this would not only help clear the labour market more efficiently, it would, I suspect, also contribute to a more dynamic economy. Hence growth and greater prosperity for all.

    Now, by the same analogy, i.e. the MPT, you might intellectually argue that employers too should not put all their eggs in one basket. You might be able to argue that a diversified workforce would allow them to respond and move across various transitions in the economy more easily and effectively…

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